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Investment metrics - Stock analysis frameworks
When trying to analyze & buy a company’s stock, investors nowadays use 2 common frameworks for analysis, namely fundamental & technical.
This segment focuses on the economical situations, industry status quo, and also the company as a whole. It also takes into consideration. Government Policies, monetary policies, forex valuations, geopolitical situations. It also takes a deeper dive into a company’s competitors, market share, growth, data & so on and also the management of companies, investment metrics, such as ratios, cashflows & many other factors.
How do NRIs hedge for the currency risk when investing in India ?
Interesting that I could not find many resources on this apperantly a common issue. I have been working abroad for quite some time now. Most of my investments are in ETFs etc manage in Euros. However I also have an SIP and couple of FDs n RDs in my Indian bank accounts that I fund by remitting money. Due to recent developments (when INR tumbled quite a lot against euro. Even tho it's uncertain times for Europe too) I realized that be aise of this regular remitence to Indian investments I have exposed myself to quite a lot of currency risks. Even if I get 7-8% of interest on my investments in India. When INR tumbles I might be losing money instead of gaining. I am specially worried because I hear forecasts that in 5-6 years INR might go upto 100 compared to one euro (It has been on a steady downward trend since 2003) . How do you guys see this Forex Risk ? And do you employ any strategies to mitigate it? PS: Anothee thing I forgot to write earlier is that when we invest in Emerging markets EM or MFs due to our investments in India.. isn't India highly overweighted already in our portfolios ?
The Daily Autist, By An Autist, For Autists. 03/24/20
The Daily Autist
Hot Off The Spectrum
TLDR of the News to Inform Your Moves (Monday was a lot. Even my post is long)
What’s up sluts. I’m back with another burst of autism. I’ve been Rick fuggin Rollin in the tendies (AKA not hemorrhaging money) and these posts have been fairly accurate. I’ll be adding plays to the NostraLosses section as a result to bring more clarity to my dumbass takes. FIRST THINGS FUCKING FIRST THE ORIGINAL AUTIST ARTIST WHO DREW THE OLD LOGO HAS COME TO LIGHT IM SO FUCKING HAPPY. We’ll never get it back, but sometimes closure on it’s own feels good enough. What am I a fucking teenager? The rest of the sub was shit yesterday/this morning.I was shadowbanned for posting “Fear mongering Corona Content,” and yet 75% of the sub’s hot posts are exactly that but with even less info than I had. Rest is memes. No plays or info. Honestly kinda sad. https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/fnpz20/hey_yall_i_drew_the_original_baby_ama/ Obligatory Corona Dump (Monday news could not stop throating COVID content) Things are in such a Twilight Zone State Amazon is getting credit for being “altruistic,” like they didn’t hike up prices since late January themselves and only altered their practices once Trump threatened Defense Production Act (DPA) notice they’re also only suspending, so once things are just slightly back to normal please price gouge errthang. https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3076638/amazon-suspends-almost-4000-seller-accounts-unfairly-priced-products Costco is also getting unwarranted credit. They won’t take back your tower of toilet paper or tub of hand sanitizer, which COSTS them money they already made. Did they have any problem hiking the price, refusing to limit sales per person, not give their employees PPE, or donate any relief from their excess food products due to banning eating at the location and numbers going down? Nah? ok. So the good guy is the company that profited off of fear and won’t provide the minimum financial relief to those who thought it was that extreme. Stop demonizing your fellow worker citizens. https://brobible.com/culture/article/costco-toilet-paper-returns-hoarders/ Companies getting high praise and both articles implying a return to normalcy soon. How does that affect the markets? Normies are being told everything is okay and they will follow suit. Is everything okay? Absolutely not. These MFs in charge just announced unlimited QE yesterday nothing’s okay financially. Retard normie pump coming in. Financial News: Trump is saying that unless 10,000 die in the streets soon he’s gonna “re-open” the economy after the 15 days. At this point it’s a bit of a walking Onion article. Thursday?” ITS A WAR WE WILL CAPTURE AND KNIFE COVID’S ASSHOLE”. Friday? “This is serious. I do not want to use any drastic measures but I will. This is very verry serious.” Monday? “Isn’t being stuck inside fucking wack? Let’s open the pit up bro” I recommend watching the video with subtitles to get a transcript of his speech patterns. https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/america-will-again-and-soon-be-open-for-id701434357?chan=9qsux198 I predicted the Fed couldn’t devalue the dollar as fast as other countries could want it and it seems to be holding up. A very small dip from the news they’re willing to print unlimited moneys? The global economy is in trouble if that's still the stability bearer. Puts are lookin good, but they need to be farther out. 04/17 soonest for my comfort. Especially with the temporary re-open of the US economy. Seeing Reuters use “money bazooka,’ multiple times in the last week has been fantastic. https://www.reuters.com/article/global-forex/forex-dollar-slips-as-feds-money-bazooka-raises-hopes-of-easier-cash-supply-idUSL4N2BH2AF Italy’s debt, tax, and unemployment relief are all being held up by congressional disputes and an ability to only handle a tenth of the paperwork that comes in. Sound familiar? Maybe ominous? The population density in regions of Italy is our closest analog to how a free (eat my dick South Korea) country is gonna get hit. Their healthcare system is also tainted by for-profit companies and insurance so it’s also pretty similar medical coverage wise per capita. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-banks-insight/banks-struggle-to-ride-to-the-rescue-in-europes-cash-crunch-battle-idUSKBN21B0OE United Airlines is threatening to fire workers if they don’t get a bailout. I hope to fuck this is the tipping point and the government forces United to hand over their payroll list so the gov. Provide financial relief to their employees while United liquidates their assets or sells to some Saudi Conglomerate. Effect on market? PUTS ON UNITED BITCH THEY GOIN OUT https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/20/819401028/united-airlines-threatens-to-cut-jobs-if-coronavirus-aid-package-isnt-passed(From 03/20 but was drowned out by other news. Looks more and more likely airlines won’t be bailed out) Everyday Fox business posts something for Boomers to buy more Ford or Dine stocks (idk what old people buy) and today they have some good ammo. Overnight futures were up. Pre-market today as of 06:31 EST is $234.72 after touching 238. Looks like today is going to be the bull trap day as the rumors of stimulus are hot again. If it gets passed I expect a 245-248 top before the unemployment numbers Thursday fist everyone. Market effect? Short term calls as everyone gets high on optimism and long term puts for when they come down. https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-futures-gain-ground-as-congress-moves-closer-to-a-stimulus-deal Crypto is taking off after tanking yesterday. Overnight rally (NZ markets followed by Asian markets) carried it up 14% in the last 16 hours. It started to rise slowly after the QE announcement but really flew overnight and this morning. Cooling off now but already had a dip to 6650 and right back up to 6700+ While not always correlated, crypto is a key indicator right now in speculative confidence while people are budgeting for maintaining their lives versus increasing their future wealth. No link because every crypto site is owned by a Ponzi schemer. Fight me and my tinfoil fucking hat. Here are some squigglies and bars https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BITBAY My NostraLosses Prediction? The rumors of stimulus and the passed unlimited QE will provide market optimism today and tomorrow. Thursday’s unemployment numbers is the next scheduled big news so I wouldn’t get any short term puts unless scalping. If anything unexpected news could bring the market even higher with it being random good news versus any random catastrophic news. Market open will be up about 6% from the previous day’s close, so I expect a short term dip at open which would be a good spot to get quick calls to then ride the pump. Market closes above 235 and if stimulus passes along with more false optimism statements by Trump there’s possibly a sharp bull run to 245-248 by end of Wednesday. Plays to follow: SPY: 240c 03/27 once the first dip of day happens. If your bankroll allows for a few days farther out I would go for it. If SPY does hit 240, SELL call and BUY put for 228 04/01 at soonest. DIA: 190P 04/17 It hasn’t fallen nearly as hard as it should (another 5% imo) and the industries making it up are going to have numbers showing how bad the payroll cuts and profit loss has been. During today’s pump get some not so fucking expensive puts (made sure not to say cheap) Any Stupid Tech Company: Retarded OTM call for 03/27 or later. With so many people being stuck at home the last week or so the tech companies are outperforming the market with the idea that: The high user rate means more $$$, but if there’s more people on because they are not working or laid off, how do they have the money to buy shitty sponsored products on their feed? The kicker here is ads have always had near useless efficacy rates on social media so the fact they will continue to do a shit job might not change much. Anyway people are fucking dumb and tech gonna continue to rally this week. Signed, someone with 1.5k in TWTR Puts expiring over next 4 weeks. Most people don’t even give you one play. I’m giving you multiple ways to lose your money. TLDR of my TLDR: Companies who profited off the crisis getting karma points for no reason. Normies think the crisis will be over next Friday. International currencies are still erratic but the markets are rallying today globally (sign of lacking underlying stability for said rally). Italy can’t pass anything or handle the paperwork from their previously set up process (AKA USA in 7-10 days under current stimulus proposals) and they don’t have a solution in sight. Stimulus has everyone rock hard for calls again, ride the short term rise and pick up puts while you’re up there. Just be a long term gay bear experimenting with bulls depending on the day. Results on my thoughts from last post 03/23: I was incorrect on circuit breaker open but was only 1% away and it did run up mid-day as called. So if you sold at 218 to buy calls to sell a few hours later, we nailed it boys. If you were aiming for price instead of time, it never hit 234 again which was a key test and you’re likely sitting on a fat red option right now. I was about half right which is all you need to be. I’ve also switched up Market affect and effect because I’m retarded and am unsure which is right anymore. Nvm grammarly fixed it. And again, I mean this sincerely,
(I don't know anythig about forex, I just wanted to bring back my money from overseas and make a good deal waiting the right moment) So, I got a pretty bad experience with Transferwise. I wanted to bring back USD and EUR into my AUD account (I have accounts in each of those countries). To eventually send it back in a while if I did not use the money here for household, and make an easy 5-10K USD. I waited for the big spikes from 2 days ago, just before an australian announcement, where I did believe rate will fall afterward. I did a pretty good job and got pretty much the highest point. But those mf from transferwise just cancelled all my transfer because rate change by more than 5%. I believe this rule is pretty unclear: what change by 5%? between my transfer time and their cancellation email? between the max and min from the day? which day, which timeframe? I feel pretty screwed. I thought I could make a few bucks just moving my money between my accounts at the right time of the year, without going into FOREX stuff. Thank you
Hello, A couple of years ago a couple of friends and I enrolled in a "seminar" about trading forex presented by a guy called Jihad Hokayem. He charged us $2,250 each, and made us trade with real money. Following his signals, we lost everything. And then he disappeared. I got in contact with people who have taken the seminar with Jihad before and the same pattern repeated itself. This mf made a big name of himself teaching in universities and appearing on TV while, knowing him in person, I know that he's a complete fraud. His knowledge in finance is shit and he barely knows what's he's talking about Listen closely to what he's saying and you'll sense how oblivious he is to anything in the finance world. He also has an "NGO" to promote Lebanon for tourism and "to help youth", although he's ripping money off youngsters by making deals with brokers to make them go bust. Here he claimed to have started a campaign to find a "slogan for Lebanon" with prizes for winners, only to end up giving the award to one his friends. I fuckin hate him. He blew up all my savings and he's still playing the innocent on TV and Unis. I'm willing to preserve my private identity. What can I do about this?
What 'finance' movie would you like to see made and why?
Was just thinking about Margin Call and how I really enjoyed that film (and many others) when I wondered what else would make a great film based around the world of finance. The savings & loans boom/bust? A forex trader in London on 23rd June 2016? The day MF Global imploded? What, finance, would make a kick-ass movie about the world we work in? Edit: Thanks for the comments guys! I've actually discovered a bunch of interesting events/people to read up on now.
I don't want to trade - but I do want (some) FX exposure. What are my options?
Hi all, I'm looking to have about 3-5% FX exposure in my overall portfolio (which is currently 70% equities, 10% commodities, 20% cash/bonds). This would ideally move my allocations to 70% E, 10% C, 15% C/B & 5% FX. I have literally zero desire to "learn forex". Instead, I view currency markets as a potential source of yield that could also act as a hedge against a bear market (in equities), which we'll probably see sooner than later... Anyway, from my research over the last month or so, it seems like the most legit sources of passive exposure are Horizons' ETFs (HARC & HGC), as well as PIMCO's emerging currency MF (PLMIX), with monthly distributions. There's a few other MF's, but all have similar prospectus & performance. Speaking of - the performance of those funds isn't exactly mouth-watering. At best, they appear to be an alternative to Bonds or CD's. So that's why I'm posting here, and it brings me back to my original question... Are there any legit, MANAGED FX funds that a passive investor like myself could utilize? Something with greater-than-nominal yield? Since this is risk capital (5% of total), I'd consider alt structures. Doesn't necessarily have to be an ETF/MF. Any ideas? Thx
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